My view

This my view is quick as I am tired and smell a bit. Joe Biden is visiting Poland amongst other Eastern European countries this week. This visit comes on the back of Obama relegating Eastern Europe form the missile defense premier league to the part time league of no hopers. Conventional wisdom tells us the Poles and other Eastern Europeans are up set at this slight as they feel frozen out and they feel they expended political capital for no real reason.

Yet the real worry in Eastern Europe comes with the perceived American abandonment of Eastern Europe in favor of Russia. This feeling can not be eased when Obama announced the new missile defense plans on the same day as the 70th anniversary of the Russo-German invasion of Poland.

This goes to the real nub of Eastern European worry, they feel tremendously insecure in the face of Russia, they look at Georgia, energy security, the probable war between Russia and the Ukraine and they also look to the past and all roads lead to a very aggressive and expansionist Russia.

Eastern Europeans did not feel threatened by Iran, they feel threatened by Russia. To that end missile defense was merely a tool for Eastern Europeans to get American boots on the ground and multiple security guarantees.

Yet Biden seems unable and unwilling to give any security guarantees to Eastern Europe, this will crate and feed massive instability that may well lead to war. For a small set of security guarantees Biden and Obama could avoid the coming tension and possible wars, but they seems unable and unwilling to give those guarantees