My View

My view

Two very quick bits of analysis. The first is the Jundallah attack in Iran yesterday that killed the deputy commander of the revolutionary republican guard. The Jundallah while have no proven links to the Taliban and Al Qaeda are nonetheless and extreme Sunni group so do not be surprised if in the future we have to bomb them. But more importantly we must not use the Jundallah as a substitute for actuality tackling Iran, some in policy making positions believe they can use the Jundallah to create mayhem, chaos and insurrection inside Iran which in turn will disrupt Iran’s Nuke program. While the soldiers of God have there use’s such as acting as a vehicle for assassination, kidnap and Intel gathering they are unable to stop Iran going nuclear, that’s up to western powers to come to terms with what needs to be done and doing it. Unfortunately in the west there is still a sense of shock and denial as to the action that needs to be taken. Until we get over that shock and denial we in the west will remain paralyzed and unable to act in the face of Iran’s nuclear program

The second piece of analysis is Pakistan’s offensive against the Taliban. Pakistan must not only win but also hold the ground it takes, if it is not capable of holding the ground it takes then the Taliban and its various contingents including the Uzbeks, will re-occupy the territory it made Pakistan pay so dearly for and the cycle of suicide bombing and army offensive will continue, with the Taliban steeping up their infiltration of Pakistani provinces. But for the Pakistan to hold the ground they have taken two things must occur, one: Pakistan must start to look at India as less of a threat than the Taliban, this would in turn allow the Pakistani army to redeploy possible up to One Hundred thousand troops to the afghan border along with some up to date military hardware such as heavy steel and advanced aircraft. This would allow Pakistan to hold the ground they have taken and also it would allow them to make the Taliban pay a very high price for there defiance of central government. The second major event that must occur is that ISI, The Pakistani armed forces and its civil service must be slowly purged of all Islamists and pro Taliban elements. These elements have a serious constraining and disrupting effect on the army’s offensives and mission to destroy the Taliban and they must be eliminated, in essence they are the fifth column